2020 Campania regional election

2020 Campania regional election
← 2015 20 September 2020 2025 →
All 51 seats to the Regional Council of Campania
Turnout55.54% (Increase3.61%)
  Majority party Minority party
 
Leader Vincenzo De Luca Stefano Caldoro
Party Democratic Party Forza Italia
Alliance Centre-left Centre-right
Seats won 33 11
Seat change Increase2 Decrease2
Popular vote 1,789,017 464,921
Percentage 69.48% 18.06%
Swing Increase28.33% Decrease20.31%
President before election

Vincenzo De Luca
Democratic Party

President

Vincenzo De Luca
Democratic Party

Politics of Campania
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The 2020 Campanian regional election took place in Campania on 20 and 21 September 2020. It was originally scheduled to take place on 31 May 2020, but it was delayed due to the COVID-19 pandemic in Italy.[1][2]

Electoral system

The Regional Council of Campania (Consiglio Regionale della Campania) is composed of 50 members, elected in a party-list proportional representation system. The seats are divided among five constituencies corresponding to the region's provinces: Avellino with 4 seats, Benevento with 2 seats, Caserta with 8 seats, Naples with 27 seats, and Salerno with 9 seats. Regional councillors are selected from party lists at the constituency level, with an electoral threshold at 3%. An additional seat is reserved to the President-elect, who is the candidate winning a plurality of votes. A majority bonus of 60% is granted to the winning coalition.[3][4]

Background

In February 2020, the direction of the Democratic Party (PD) officially confirmed that the centre-left candidate for President of Campania would be the incumbent President Vincenzo De Luca.[5]

The centre-right coalition picked former President Stefano Caldoro, a member of Forza Italia (FI), as its candidate, after hypotheses of a League's candidate or Mara Carfagna (FI) were abandoned.[6][7]

The Five Star Movement (M5S) discarded the idea of a coalition with the centre-left, and proposed its own candidate Valeria Ciarambino.[6] Previously, the M5S had proposed the incumbent Minister of Environment Sergio Costa as its candidate.[8]

Parties and candidates

Political party or alliance Constituent lists Previous result Candidate
Votes (%) Seats
Centre-left coalition Democratic Party (PD) 19.5 15 Vincenzo De Luca
De Luca for President 4.9 4
Free Campania (CL) 4.8 3
Democratic Centre (CD) 2.8 2
Italian Socialist Party (PSI) 2.2 1
Green Europe – Solidary Democracy (EV–DemoS) 1.2 1
Really – Animalist Party (D–PA) (incl. IiC) — —
More Campania in Europe (+C) (incl. PLI) — —
Us Campanians (NC) — —
Democratic Making – Populars (FD–Pop.) — —
Liberal Democrats – Popular Campania – Moderates (LD–CP–Mod.) — —
Democrats and Progressives (DeP) (incl. Art.1, RD) — —
Italia Viva (IV) — —
For People and the Community (Per) — —
Italian Republican Party – League for Italy (PRI–LpI) — —
Centre-right coalition Forza Italia (FI) 17.8 7 Stefano Caldoro
Caldoro for President – Union of the Centre (CP–UDC) (incl. NPSI, C!) 9.6[a] 4[b]
Brothers of Italy (FdI) 5.5 2
League (Lega) — —
Alliance of the Centre (AdC) — —
Southern Identity – Southern Macroregion (IM–MS) — —
Five Star Movement (M5S) 17.0 7 Valeria Ciarambino
Terra (incl. SI, PRC, PCI, PdS, èViva) 2.3 – Luca Saltalamacchia
Power to the People (PaP) — — Giuliano Granato
Third Pole (TP) — — Sergio Angrisano
Party of Good Manners — — Giuseppe Cirillo
  1. ^ 7.2 % of the vote to the "Caldoro for President" list, 2.4 % of the vote to UDC.
  2. ^ 2 seats to the "Caldoro for President" list, 2 seats to UDC.

Opinion polls

Candidates

Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org.
Date Polling firm/
Client 		Sample size De Luca Caldoro Ciarambino Others Undecided Lead
21 Sep 2020 Opinio (exit poll) – 54.0–58.0 23.0–27.0 10.5–14.5 – – 31.0
1–4 Sep 2020 Ixè 1,000 54.4 26.9 15.0 3.7 23.7 27.5
29 Aug 2020 Ipsos 930 50.4 29.0 15.9 4.8 8.4 21.4
28 Aug–1 Sep 2020 SWG 1,000 51–55 29–33 11–15 — 26 18–26
27 Aug 2020 Tecnè 2,000 45–49 33–37 14–18 2–4 — 8–14
24 Aug–2 Sep 2020 Noto — 46–50 34–38 11–15 1–5 — 8–14
3–4 Aug 2020 Tecnè 1,000 44.5 39.0 15.0 1.5 — 5.5
20–22 Jul 2020 Winpoll 1,002 58.6 28.9 9.9 2.6 21.0 29.7
25–26 Jun 2020 Winpoll Arcadia 800 65.4 21.9 10.9 — — 43.5
24–25 Jun 2020 Noto 1,000 45.0 39.0 13.0 3.0 — 6.0
17–20 Dec 2019 Winpoll Arcadia 700 39.5 36.7 23.8 – — 2.8

Hypothetical candidates

Date Polling firm/
Client 		Sample size De Luca Caldoro Other CDX Ciarambino Costa Others Undecided Lead
20 Dec–25 Dec 2019 Index 1,000 36.0 47.0 — 15.0 — 2.0 27.2 11.0
35.0 — 49.0[a] 14.0 — 2.0 25.9 14.0
12–15 Nov 2019 Noto[b] 1,000 34.0 42.0 — — 20.0 4.0 30.0 8.0
32.0 — 44.0[a] — 22.0 2.0 25.8 12.0
34.0 — 42.0[c] — 20.0 2.0 26.8 8.0
27 Sep 2019 Winpoll Arcadia – 37.0 — 20.4[d] 5.2 7.9 33.0[e] — 8.5
  1. ^ a b Mara Carfagna
  2. ^ This poll was commissioned by a political party.
  3. ^ Clemente Mastella
  4. ^ Carfagna 16.9% and Edmondo Cirielli 4.5%.
  5. ^ De Magistris, 28.5%

Parties

Date Polling firm Sample size Centre-left M5S Centre-right Others Undecided Lead
PD IV EV DeP +E DL Other FI Lega FdI Other
1–4 Sep 2020 Ixè 1,000 20.6 1.5 — — — 17.3 7.1 19.4 8.8 8.6 7.8 6.2 2.7 26.3 1.2
29 Aug 2020 Ipsos 930 19.2 12.0 12.2 4.1 17.2 14.0 3.3 10.2 1.0 2.7 14.5 2.0
28 Aug–1 Sep 2020 SWG 1,000 18.5–20.5 1.5–2.5 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 17.0–19.0 — 13.0–15.0 5.5–7.5 9.5–11.5 7.5–9.5 — 1.0–2.0 29.0 -0.5–3.5
20–22 Jul 2020 Winpoll 1,002 15.0 1.9 0.9 0.8 1.3 17.2 7.7 17.0 6.0 14.4 14.9 0.7 1.4 — 0.2
25–26 Jun 2020 Winpoll Arcadia 800 21.3 0.9 1.2 1.1 — — 20.6 21.7 8.2 10.7 10.5 2.7 1.1 — 0.4
29–30 May 2020 Tecnè 1,000 21.7 2.4 0.9 2.7 2.3 — 1.7 24.3 14.1 15.3 12.4 — 2.2 — 2.6
17–20 Dec 2019 Winpoll Arcadia 700 22.7 2.5 2.1 2.6 2.4 — 1.2 26.2 9.7 18.8 8.8 — 3.0 — 3.5
30 Nov–2 Dec 2019 Index 1,000 16.0 3.0 2.0 — — 5.0 8.0 15.0 14.0 17.0 11.0 4.0 5.0 17.2 1.0
12–15 Nov 2019 Noto[a] 1,000 22.0 3.0 2.0 2.0 — — 3.0 18.0 16.0 13.0 10.0 3.0 8.0 28.0 4.0
  1. ^ This poll was commissioned by a political party.

Results

The election saw the victory of the centre-left candidate and incumbent President of Campania, Vincenzo De Luca, who won almost 69.5% of the vote with more than 45% lead over the centre-right candidate Stefano Caldoro. The Five Star Movement candidate, Valeria Ciarambino, arrived third with less than 10% of the vote. The Democratic Party was the first party by number of votes, with 16.9% of preferences, followed by the list of De Luca and by the Five Star Movement.[9]


20–21 September 2020 Campanian regional election results
Candidates Votes % Seats Parties Votes % Seats
Vincenzo De Luca 1,789,017 69.48 1 Democratic Party 398,490 16.90 8
De Luca for President 313,666 13.30 6
Italia Viva 173,870 7.37 4
Free Campania 122,367 5.19 2
Democratic Making – Populars 104,857 4.45 2
Us Campanians 102,652 4.35 2
Liberal Democrats – Popular Campania – Moderates 84,769 3.60 2
Democratic Centre 76,141 3.23 2
Italian Socialist Party 60,100 2.55 1
More Campania in Europe 45,500 1.93 1
Green Europe – Solidary Democracy 42,996 1.82 1
Really – Animalist Party 33,681 1.43 1
For the People and the Community 26,452 1.12 –
Democrats and Progressives 25,254 1.07 –
Italian Republican Party 5,745 0.24 –
Total 1,616,540 68.57 32
Stefano Caldoro 464,921 18.06 1 Brothers of Italy 140,918 5.98 4
League 133,152 5.65 3
Forza Italia 121,695 5.16 2
Caldoro for President – Union of the Centre 45,326 1.92 1
Alliance of the Centre 6,432 0.27 –
Southern Identity – South Macroregion 3,333 0.14 –
Total 450,856 19.12 10
Valeria Ciarambino 255,714 9.93 – Five Star Movement 233,974 9.92 7
Giuliano Granato 30,955 1.20 – Power to the People 26,711 1.13 –
Luca Saltalamacchia 27,475 1.07 – Terra 25,125 1.07 –
Sergio Angrisano 4,028 0.16 – Third Pole 3,056 0.13 –
Giuseppe Cirillo 2,608 0.10 – Party of Good Manners 1,348 0.06 –
Blank and invalid votes 199,386 7.19
Total candidates 2,574,718 100.00 2 Total parties 2,357,610 100.00 49
Registered voters/turnout 4,996,921 55.52
Source: Ministry of the Interior – Results[permanent dead link]


Popular vote
PD
 
 16.90%
De Luca
 
 13.30%
M5S
 
 9.92%
IV
 
 7.37%
FdI
 
 5.98%
Lega
 
 5.65%
CL
 
 5.19%
FI
 
 5.16%
FD–Pop.
 
 4.45%
NC
 
 4.35%
LD–Mod
 
 3.60%
CD
 
 3.23%
PSI
 
 2.55%
+E
 
 1.93%
UDC
 
 1.92%
EV–DemoS
 
 1.82%
PA
 
 1.43%
Others
 
 5.25%
President
De Luca
 
 69.48%
Caldoro
 
 18.06%
Ciarambino
 
 9.93%
Others
 
 2.53%
Seats summary
Centre-left
 
 64.70%
Centre-right
 
 21.57%
M5S
 
 13.73%

Turnout

Region Time
20 Sep 21 Sep
12:00 19:00 23:00 15:00
Campania 11.32% 26.52% 38.92% 55.53%
Province Time
20 Sep 21 Sep
12:00 19:00 23:00 15:00
Avellino 9.55% 24.95% 37.01% 51.86%
Benevento 10.06% 24.80% 36.22% 51.73%
Caserta 11.21% 27.00% 40.20% 57.61%
Naples 11.84% 26.78% 38.86% 55.33%
Salerno 11.24% 26.67% 39.62% 57.11%
Source: Ministry of the Interior – Turnout[permanent dead link]

Elected councillors

Constituency Party Member
Campania
(at-large) 		PD Vincenzo De Luca[a]
FI Stefano Caldoro[b]
Naples PD Mario Casillo
PD Loredana Raia
PD Carmela Fiola
PD Massimiliano Manfredi
DLP Vittoria Lettieri
DLP Lucia Fortini
DLP Carmine Mocerino
DLP Paola Raia
M5S Valeria Ciarambino
M5S Gennaro Saiello
M5S Maria Muscarà
M5S Luigi Cirillo
FdI Michele Schiano di Visconti
FdI Marco Nonno
LD–Mod Giuseppe Sommese
LD–Mod Pasquale Di Fenza
CD Giovanni Mensorio
CD Raffaele Maria Pisacane
IV Francesco Iovino
Lega Severino Nappi
CL Giovanni Porcelli
FI Anna Rita Patriarca
FD–Pop Felice Di Maiolo
+E Fulvio Frezza
EV–DemoS Francesco Emilio Borrelli
UDC Gennaro Cinque
Constituency Party Member
Salerno PD Francesco Picarone
DLP Luca Cascone
M5S Michele Cammarano
IV Tommaso Pellegrino
FdI Nunzio Carpentieri
Lega Attilio Pierro
CL Giovanni Savastano
FD–Pop Corrado Matera
PSI Andrea Volpe
Caserta PD Gennaro Oliviero
DLP Giovanni Zannini
M5S Salvatore Aversano
IV Vincenzo Santangelo
FdI Alfonso Piscitelli
Lega Gianpiero Zinzi
FI Massimo Grimaldi
NC Luigia Maria Iodice
Avellino PD Maurizio Petracca
M5S Vincenzo Ciampi
IV Vincenzo Alaia
D–PA Livio Petitto
Benevento PD Erasmo Mortaruolo
NC Luigi Abbate

  1. ^ As elected President of the Region.
  2. ^ As runner-up candidate to President of the Region.

See also

References

  1. ^ "Il governo ha rinviato le elezioni regionali e comunali" (in Italian). Il Post. 20 April 2020. Retrieved 25 April 2020.
  2. ^ Elezioni Regionali, il 31 Maggio si vota in Toscana, Veneto, Campania, Puglia, Liguria e Marche
  3. ^ "Elezioni regionali Campania 2020: data, candidati e sondaggi". Money.it (in Italian). 6 December 2019. Retrieved 16 December 2019.
  4. ^ "Regioni.it - n. 2689 del 24-03-2015 - Campania al voto con una nuova legge elettorale - Regioni.it". www.regioni.it. Archived from the original on 16 December 2019. Retrieved 16 December 2019.
  5. ^ "Regionali Campania 2020, la direzione Pd ufficializza la scelta: «Il nostro candidato è De Luca»". il Mattino (in Italian). 17 February 2020. Retrieved 7 August 2020.
  6. ^ a b "Elezioni regionali Campania 2020, la guida: data, candidati e sondaggi". Money.it (in Italian). 31 July 2020. Retrieved 7 August 2020.
  7. ^ "Regionali Campania 2020, la Lega vuole il candidato ma Forza Italia frena: tocca a noi". il Mattino (in Italian). 10 May 2020. Retrieved 7 August 2020.
  8. ^ "Regionali, il M5S lancia Costa in Campania. Ma il Pd si schiera con De Luca". la Repubblica (in Italian). 17 February 2020. Retrieved 7 August 2020.
  9. ^ Bufi, Fulvio (22 September 2020). "Elezioni regionali 2020 in Campania, i risultati definitivi". Corriere della Sera (in Italian). Retrieved 24 September 2020.